Environment Canada is calling for temperatures to soar well above normal starting Sunday in Southern Manitoba.
Meteorologist Natalie Hasell says after several days of cloudy, wet weather, we should see that trend end later in the day on Friday. She notes there is still some precipitation that could fall Friday in the form of light snow, light rain or a combination of the two.
Then on Saturday, there is sunshine in the forecast with a high of +1, which is the normal high for this time of year. Hasell explains there is a low-pressure system that should be forming on Friday, which will likely make its way to Manitoba by Sunday. She notes the centre of this low should be passing to the north of us, which means southern Manitoba will be in the warm sector.
There is another system that will likely form on Monday, which should make its way to Manitoba by Tuesday and again southern Manitoba should remain to the south of the centre of this low.
Right now, Environment Canada is calling for a high of nine degrees on Sunday, five degrees on Monday and 11 degrees on Tuesday. However, Hasell cautions against putting too much faith in nine degrees for Sunday.
"If you still have a lot of snow on the ground by the time we get to the end of Saturday, you're not going to see nine on Sunday," she admits. "Most of the energy will go into melting the snow first. So, it's really hard to get above five (degrees) when you have snow on the ground."
Hasell says if enough melting occurs, then Monday's high of five degrees looks reasonable and says so too does Tuesday's high of 11. In fact, Hasell says there is probably a better chance that southern Manitoba sees 11 degrees on Tuesday than there is a chance of nine degrees on Sunday.
But Hasell says the unseasonably mild weather will be short-lived. By, Thursday, the forecast high is back down to +1. She explains there is the potential for another system to pass through on Thursday, though this time the centre will be to the south of us, resulting in cooler weather. She notes there is also a chance of precipitation with that system. Hasell says the end of next week will likely see below-normal temperatures.
Meanwhile, Hasell says it looks highly unlikely that Steinbach will break any temperature records over the next week. Though Environment Canada is calling for a high of nine degrees on Sunday, the record for November 12th is 15 degrees set in 1999. And the 11 degrees currently in the forecast for Tuesday is still well below the record high of 17 degrees for November 14th, set in 2001.
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